[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":838},["ShallowReactive",2],{"strategy-i09":3},{"collection":4,"collection_name":5,"testable":6,"original":7,"bars_label":8,"universe_short":9,"rule_short":10,"id":11,"name":12,"family":13,"tags":14,"universe":17,"bars":18,"rules":19,"sizing":20,"cadence":21,"prompt":22,"notes":23,"verdict":24,"result":25,"chart":62},"orbital","Orbital Strategies",true,null,"Hourly","TQQQ · UPRO (3x)","Hold the fund while its latest hourly close is above its 200-day simple moving average of daily closes, checked at every hourly close: buy at the next minute's open when it is above and sell when it falls below.","I09","TQQQ and UPRO above the 200-day, checked hourly","Trend filter",[15,16],"Trend following","Leveraged ETF","Two 3x index funds: TQQQ (Nasdaq-100) and UPRO (S&P 500)","hourly","Hold the fund while its latest hourly close is above its 200-day simple moving average of daily closes, checked at every hourly close: buy at the next minute's open when it is above and sell when it falls below. 49.5% of the account per fund; cash otherwise.","49.5% of equity per fund at entry","Checks every hourly close","Trade TQQQ and UPRO, checking each hourly close against the 200-day simple moving average of daily closes: buy when above, sell when below, with 49.5% of equity per position. Backtest from October 30, 2023 to October 30, 2026 with $100,000.","Picked on November 8, 2026 by a rule written before any run: published evidence, yearly costs at most a quarter of the published gross return, buildable in Orbital, and the source's own parameters. Every rule is published whatever it shows. Gayed and Bilello's Leverage for the Long Run, with each fund's own 200-day line instead of the S&P 500's, since a rule reads only its own symbol. The selection expected it to beat SPY on return, not clearly on Sharpe, with a drawdown of 30% or worse.","riskier",{"status":26,"verdict":24,"period":27,"total_return":28,"cagr":29,"sharpe":30,"deflated_sharpe":31,"max_dd":32,"win_rate":33,"profit_factor":34,"trades":35,"spy_return":36,"spy_cagr":37,"spy_sharpe":38,"spy_max_dd":39,"beta":40,"alpha":41,"cost_share":42,"checks":43},"done","Oct 30, 2023 to Oct 30, 2026",139.85,33.85,0.82,-0.86,-34.83,26.5,3.27,34,88.6,23.54,1.22,-18.68,2.02,-3.09,2.1,[44,47,50,53,56,59],[45,46],"Strategies tested together","15",[48,49],"Beta to SPY","2.02",[51,52],"Alpha vs SPY","−3.1% a year",[54,55],"Costs paid","$3,003, 2% of the gain before costs",[57,58],"Data","1h decisions on 1-minute bars, 754 sessions",[60,61],"Fills","Next open at market, sized at the fill",{"curve":63,"spy":526},{"id":11,"name":12,"bars_label":8,"window":64,"ret":28,"cagr":29,"sharpe":30,"spy":36,"points":65},"minute",[66,69,72,75,78,81,84,87,90,93,96,99,102,105,108,111,114,117,120,123,126,129,132,135,138,141,144,147,150,153,156,159,162,165,168,171,174,177,180,183,186,189,192,195,198,201,204,207,210,213,216,219,222,225,228,231,234,237,240,243,246,249,252,255,258,261,264,267,270,273,276,279,282,284,286,288,290,292,294,296,298,300,303,306,308,310,313,316,319,322,325,328,331,334,337,340,343,346,349,352,355,358,361,364,367,370,373,376,379,382,385,388,391,394,397,400,403,406,409,412,415,418,420,423,426,429,432,434,436,439,442,445,448,451,454,457,460,463,466,469,472,475,478,481,484,487,490,493,496,499,502,505,508,511,514,517,520,523],[67,68],"2023-10-30",1,[70,71],"2023-11-03",1.06,[73,74],"2023-11-10",1.126,[76,77],"2023-11-17",1.1939,[79,80],"2023-11-24",1.2252,[82,83],"2023-12-01",1.2382,[85,86],"2023-12-08",1.2501,[88,89],"2023-12-15",1.3587,[91,92],"2023-12-22",1.3931,[94,95],"2023-12-29",1.4002,[97,98],"2024-01-05",1.3013,[100,101],"2024-01-12",1.3979,[103,104],"2024-01-19",1.4832,[106,107],"2024-01-26",1.5134,[109,110],"2024-02-02",1.5633,[112,113],"2024-02-09",1.6406,[115,116],"2024-02-16",1.5871,[118,119],"2024-02-23",1.6541,[121,122],"2024-03-01",1.7265,[124,125],"2024-03-08",1.6803,[127,128],"2024-03-15",1.6412,[130,131],"2024-03-22",1.7636,[133,134],"2024-03-28",1.7529,[136,137],"2024-04-05",1.703,[139,140],"2024-04-12",1.6517,[142,143],"2024-04-19",1.4397,[145,146],"2024-04-26",1.5837,[148,149],"2024-05-03",1.6166,[151,152],"2024-05-10",1.6905,[154,155],"2024-05-17",1.7828,[157,158],"2024-05-24",1.8187,[160,161],"2024-05-31",1.7655,[163,164],"2024-06-07",1.8608,[166,167],"2024-06-14",2.0054,[169,170],"2024-06-21",2.0243,[172,173],"2024-06-28",2.0178,[175,176],"2024-07-05",2.1797,[178,179],"2024-07-12",2.1937,[181,182],"2024-07-19",1.9946,[184,185],"2024-07-26",1.8767,[187,188],"2024-08-02",1.7211,[190,191],"2024-08-09",1.6214,[193,194],"2024-08-16",1.8527,[196,197],"2024-08-23",1.9145,[199,200],"2024-08-30",1.8909,[202,203],"2024-09-06",1.6404,[205,206],"2024-09-13",1.7989,[208,209],"2024-09-20",1.872,[211,212],"2024-09-27",1.9114,[214,215],"2024-10-04",1.917,[217,218],"2024-10-11",1.9803,[220,221],"2024-10-18",2.0085,[223,224],"2024-10-25",1.9771,[226,227],"2024-11-01",1.888,[229,230],"2024-11-08",2.1753,[232,233],"2024-11-15",2.0018,[235,236],"2024-11-22",2.1005,[238,239],"2024-11-29",2.1545,[241,242],"2024-12-06",2.2802,[244,245],"2024-12-13",2.2755,[247,248],"2024-12-20",2.1378,[250,251],"2024-12-27",2.1736,[253,254],"2025-01-03",2.1203,[256,257],"2025-01-10",1.9895,[259,260],"2025-01-17",2.1524,[262,263],"2025-01-24",2.2549,[265,266],"2025-01-31",2.1678,[268,269],"2025-02-07",2.1618,[271,272],"2025-02-14",2.2906,[274,275],"2025-02-21",2.1614,[277,278],"2025-02-28",1.9823,[280,281],"2025-03-07",1.7631,[283,281],"2025-03-14",[285,281],"2025-03-21",[287,281],"2025-03-28",[289,281],"2025-04-04",[291,281],"2025-04-11",[293,281],"2025-04-17",[295,281],"2025-04-25",[297,281],"2025-05-02",[299,281],"2025-05-09",[301,302],"2025-05-16",1.7523,[304,305],"2025-05-23",1.6973,[307,305],"2025-05-30",[309,122],"2025-06-06",[311,312],"2025-06-13",1.6808,[314,315],"2025-06-20",1.6549,[317,318],"2025-06-27",1.7928,[320,321],"2025-07-03",1.878,[323,324],"2025-07-11",1.8551,[326,327],"2025-07-18",1.9064,[329,330],"2025-07-25",1.969,[332,333],"2025-08-01",1.8327,[335,336],"2025-08-08",2.0042,[338,339],"2025-08-15",2.0384,[341,342],"2025-08-22",2.0125,[344,345],"2025-08-29",1.9941,[347,348],"2025-09-05",2.0306,[350,351],"2025-09-12",2.1329,[353,354],"2025-09-19",2.2424,[356,357],"2025-09-26",2.2123,[359,360],"2025-10-03",2.2856,[362,363],"2025-10-10",2.1162,[365,366],"2025-10-17",2.2444,[368,369],"2025-10-24",2.3787,[371,372],"2025-10-31",2.4706,[374,375],"2025-11-07",2.2917,[377,378],"2025-11-14",2.2744,[380,381],"2025-11-21",2.1029,[383,384],"2025-11-28",2.3763,[386,387],"2025-12-05",2.4239,[389,390],"2025-12-12",2.3254,[392,393],"2025-12-19",2.3383,[395,396],"2025-12-26",2.4274,[398,399],"2026-01-02",2.3268,[401,402],"2026-01-09",2.4504,[404,405],"2026-01-16",2.4013,[407,408],"2026-01-23",2.3877,[410,411],"2026-01-30",2.3892,[413,414],"2026-02-06",2.2962,[416,417],"2026-02-13",2.2077,[419,366],"2026-02-20",[421,422],"2026-02-27",2.2114,[424,425],"2026-03-06",2.0094,[427,428],"2026-03-13",1.9235,[430,431],"2026-03-20",1.9156,[433,431],"2026-03-27",[435,431],"2026-04-02",[437,438],"2026-04-10",1.9171,[440,441],"2026-04-17",2.2194,[443,444],"2026-04-24",2.3104,[446,447],"2026-05-01",2.3909,[449,450],"2026-05-08",2.6781,[452,453],"2026-05-15",2.6537,[455,456],"2026-05-22",2.7419,[458,459],"2026-05-29",2.927,[461,462],"2026-06-05",2.6044,[464,465],"2026-06-12",2.7059,[467,468],"2026-06-18",2.8387,[470,471],"2026-06-26",2.5613,[473,474],"2026-07-02",2.6398,[476,477],"2026-07-10",2.7628,[479,480],"2026-07-17",2.5105,[482,483],"2026-07-24",2.4252,[485,486],"2026-07-31",2.4146,[488,489],"2026-08-07",2.7236,[491,492],"2026-08-14",2.7792,[494,495],"2026-08-21",2.6158,[497,498],"2026-08-28",2.6474,[500,501],"2026-09-04",2.6558,[503,504],"2026-09-11",2.5983,[506,507],"2026-09-18",2.6261,[509,510],"2026-09-25",2.7989,[512,513],"2026-10-02",2.8131,[515,516],"2026-10-09",2.8601,[518,519],"2026-10-16",2.5327,[521,522],"2026-10-23",2.4845,[524,525],"2026-10-30",2.3985,[527,528,530,532,534,536,538,540,542,544,546,548,550,552,554,556,558,560,562,564,566,568,570,572,574,575,577,579,581,583,585,587,589,591,593,595,597,599,601,603,605,607,609,611,613,615,617,619,621,623,625,627,629,631,633,635,637,639,641,643,645,647,649,651,653,655,657,658,660,662,664,666,668,670,672,674,676,678,680,682,684,686,688,689,691,693,695,697,699,701,703,705,707,709,711,713,715,716,718,720,722,724,726,728,730,732,734,736,738,740,742,744,746,748,750,752,754,756,758,760,762,764,766,768,770,772,774,776,778,780,782,784,786,788,790,792,794,796,798,800,802,804,806,808,810,812,814,816,818,820,822,824,826,828,830,832,834,836],[67,68],[70,529],1.0463,[73,531],1.0606,[76,533],1.0843,[79,535],1.0953,[82,537],1.1043,[85,539],1.107,[88,541],1.1345,[91,543],1.1444,[94,545],1.1478,[97,547],1.1305,[100,549],1.1514,[103,551],1.1653,[106,553],1.1772,[109,555],1.1928,[112,557],1.2103,[115,559],1.2062,[118,561],1.2264,[121,563],1.2386,[124,565],1.2374,[127,567],1.2358,[130,569],1.2632,[133,571],1.2674,[136,573],1.256,[139,83],[142,576],1.1993,[145,578],1.2317,[148,580],1.2395,[151,582],1.2617,[154,584],1.2822,[157,586],1.2832,[160,588],1.2782,[163,590],1.2936,[166,592],1.3149,[169,594],1.3237,[172,596],1.3234,[175,598],1.3476,[178,600],1.3612,[181,602],1.3352,[184,604],1.3229,[187,606],1.2951,[190,608],1.2955,[193,610],1.3475,[196,612],1.3662,[199,614],1.3693,[202,616],1.3124,[205,618],1.366,[208,620],1.3852,[211,622],1.3932,[214,624],1.3968,[217,626],1.4134,[220,628],1.4254,[223,630],1.412,[226,632],1.3933,[229,634],1.4589,[232,636],1.4297,[235,638],1.4529,[238,640],1.4693,[241,642],1.4825,[244,644],1.473,[247,646],1.4483,[250,648],1.456,[253,650],1.4479,[256,652],1.4208,[259,654],1.4619,[262,656],1.4871,[265,644],[268,659],1.4707,[271,661],1.4912,[274,663],1.4686,[277,665],1.4531,[280,667],1.4082,[283,669],1.3757,[285,671],1.3846,[287,673],1.3632,[289,675],1.2407,[291,677],1.3112,[293,679],1.2921,[295,681],1.3511,[297,683],1.3909,[299,685],1.3847,[301,687],1.4577,[304,652],[307,690],1.4488,[309,692],1.4698,[311,694],1.4655,[314,696],1.465,[317,698],1.5122,[320,700],1.5391,[323,702],1.5346,[326,704],1.5446,[329,706],1.5675,[332,708],1.5304,[335,710],1.5686,[338,712],1.5829,[341,714],1.5881,[344,116],[347,717],1.5923,[350,719],1.6178,[353,721],1.638,[356,723],1.6334,[359,725],1.6518,[362,727],1.6115,[365,729],1.6395,[368,731],1.6709,[371,733],1.6829,[374,735],1.6565,[377,737],1.6576,[380,739],1.6274,[383,741],1.6866,[386,743],1.6927,[389,745],1.6834,[392,747],1.6843,[395,749],1.7085,[398,751],1.6919,[401,753],1.7178,[404,755],1.7122,[407,757],1.7055,[410,759],1.7117,[413,761],1.7086,[416,763],1.6878,[419,765],1.7059,[421,767],1.6976,[424,769],1.6639,[427,771],1.6386,[430,773],1.6109,[433,775],1.5724,[435,777],1.6277,[437,779],1.6856,[440,781],1.7625,[443,783],1.7723,[446,785],1.7886,[449,787],1.83,[452,789],1.832,[455,791],1.8502,[458,793],1.8783,[461,795],1.8299,[464,797],1.8407,[467,799],1.8583,[470,801],1.8204,[473,803],1.8524,[476,805],1.8788,[479,807],1.8481,[482,809],1.8383,[485,811],1.8594,[488,813],1.9237,[491,815],1.9312,[494,817],1.905,[497,819],1.9143,[500,821],1.9162,[503,823],1.9019,[506,825],1.9016,[509,827],1.9243,[512,829],1.9202,[515,831],1.9421,[518,833],1.9024,[521,835],1.8958,[524,837],1.886,1794261303666]