The rules
Buy a stock at the next open when its two-day RSI (Wilder's) closes below 10 while its close is above its 200-day simple moving average; sell at the next open after a close above its 5-day average. At most five stocks at once, 19.8% of the account each, and when more qualify than there is room for, the most oversold go first. Money not in a stock stays in cash.
- Universe
- The ten largest holdings of First Trust's cybersecurity fund (CIBR) on November 5, 2026: CRWD, CSCO, PANW, AVGO, FTNT, ZS, OKTA, NET, ACN, FFIV
- Bars
- daily
- Position size
- 19.8% of equity per stock, at most five at once
- Rebalance
- Checks every close
Results
| Measure | Orbital test | SPY, same days |
|---|---|---|
| Window | Nov 21, 2016 to Oct 30, 2026 | Nov 21, 2016 to Oct 30, 2026 |
| Total return | +93.55% | +302.23% |
| CAGR | +6.87% | +15.03% |
| Sharpe | 0.25 | 0.63 |
| Discounted Sharpe | −0.22 | — |
| Max drawdown | −23.4% | −33.7% |
| Win rate | 65.3% | — |
| Profit factor | 1.58 | — |
| Trades | 545 | — |
Hypothetical: a backtest with modeled costs, not traded with real money.
Hypothetical growth of $10,000
T16 Cybersecurity leaders, RSI(2) pullbacks · +93.5% vs SPY +302.2%
Rebuild it in Orbital
Paste this into Orbital Chat. The Strategy Developer builds the workflow and asks before it runs any backtest.
Trade CRWD, CSCO, PANW, AVGO, FTNT, ZS, OKTA, NET, ACN and FFIV on daily bars, built as a program. Buy a stock when its 2-day Wilder RSI is below 10 and its close is above its 200-day simple moving average, scoring the entry by how far the RSI is below 10; sell when its close rises above its 5-day simple moving average. Hold at most five positions, 19.8% of equity each, taking the highest scores first. Backtest from November 21, 2016 to October 30, 2026 with $100,000.
Is it real?
- Strategies tested together
- 16
- Beta to SPY
- 0.26
- Alpha vs SPY
- +0.3% a year
- Costs paid
- $14,007, 13% of the gain before costs
- Data
- Daily bars, 2,499 sessions
- Fills
- Next open at market, sized at the fill
Read this before you trust it
This basket was picked in November 2026, with hindsight: a fund's biggest holdings today are the companies that grew, which tilts any backtest of them toward beating SPY. CIBR's top ten include Broadcom, Cisco and Accenture alongside the security companies. Okta (April 2017), Zscaler (March 2018), CrowdStrike (June 2019) and Cloudflare (September 2019) listed during the test and join once they have enough history of their own: at once for holding, after 126 sessions for the monthly rule and after 200 for the other two. These rules were fixed on November 8, 2026, before any of them was run, and each is published whatever it showed. Each is a textbook setting, not tuned to these stocks.